Massachusetts-Lowell
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 85.0512Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 12-15 214 A Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-12, 82.0) 14-13 221 H Wagner NEC ( 5- 8, 84.3) 16- 7 303 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 8-18 310 N Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 5- 8 314 A Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 9-16 317 A Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 6-13 328 H Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 7-13 404 H UMBC America Eas ( 6- 7, 90.0) 4-18 411 A NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 8-10 418 H Vermont America Eas ( 7- 7, 91.8) 10-14 425 A Bryant America Eas ( 7- 6, 89.1) 7-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Quinnipiac 12-15 -3 -1 - -2.22
214 A Mercyhurst 14-13 1 2 -0.68
221 H Wagner 16- 7 9 2 ++ 4.83
303 A Massachusetts 8-18 -10 -9 0.00
310 N Queens 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.74
314 A Binghamton 9-16 -7 -3 -- -4.21
317 A Brown 6-13 -7 -10 0.00
328 H Albany 7-13 -6 -7 0.61
404 H UMBC 4-18 -14 -4 - -3.45
411 A NJIT 8-10 -2 -5 + 2.52
418 H Vermont 10-14 -4 -5 1.39
425 A Bryant 7-11 -4 -5 1.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Binghamton 9-16 -7 -3 -- -4.21 206 H Quinnipiac 12-15 -3 -1 - -2.22 310 N Queens 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.74 404 H UMBC 4-18 -14 -4 - -3.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Wagner 16- 7 9 2 ++ 4.83 411 A NJIT 8-10 -2 -5 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 12-15 -12.69 7.91 -1.38 1.19 -8.39
3 A Mercyhurst ( 2-12, 82.0) 14-13 -17.91 2.69 1.38 1.19 9.70
3 H Wagner ( 5- 8, 84.3) 16- 7 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 1.19 8.54
3 A Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 8-18 -6.77 13.83 1.38 1.19 -3.21
3 N Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 5- 8 -14.59 6.01 -0.00 1.19 -8.70
3 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 9-16 -13.44 7.16 1.38 1.19 -7.19
3 A Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 6-13 -6.72 13.88 1.38 1.19 -3.19
3 H Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 7-13 -6.86 13.74 -1.38 1.19 -4.91
3 H UMBC ( 6- 7, 90.0) 4-18 -9.92 10.68 -1.38 1.19 -6.74
3 A NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 8-10 -11.70 8.89 1.38 1.19 -6.16
3 H Vermont ( 7- 7, 91.8) 10-14 -8.08 12.51 -1.38 1.19 -5.64
3 A Bryant ( 7- 6, 89.1) 7-11 -10.78 9.81 1.38 1.19 -5.61
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-41.50
|
winning pts = 18.2346 losing points = -59.7366
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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